Intelligent Analysis, Operations Guidance, and
Strategic Leadership for the Pellet Sector
FutureMetrics has a unique skill set for providing detailed independent analysis. We combine broad and deep operational expertise, powerful sector focused financial modeling skills, and thought leading market awareness.
Mitigating climate change is the foundation of our mission.
Historic Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Concentrations
Data updated daily – The chart is interactive
-
Advice on all aspects of producing, transporting, and selling pellets
-
Expert guidance and due diligence for potential investors, lenders, and project developers
-
Operations optimization for pellet plants
-
Strategic analysis and market research
-
Greenhouse gas mitigation strategies
FutureMetrics has a white paper about a strategy for the Biden administration for fighting climate change.
New White Paper and Dashboard
Why Biomass Carbon Capture and Sequestration (BCCS) should be part of every decarbonization strategy.
Global Pellet Trade Sankey Map.
FutureMetrics’ interactive map showing 2019’s international trade in wood pellets. Click on any exporting or importing country to see where their tonnes of pellets go or where they came from.
The map will be updated to 2020 data in March 2021 after complete 2020 trade data is available.
The map can be accessed for free HERE.
FutureMetrics Research and Analysis
Japan Biomass Outlook:
Overview and analysis in the context of a changing power market
Click HERE for more.
FutureMetrics is a proud member of the President’s Circle of the Forest History Society
(December 30, 2020) - Using Biomass Carbon Capture and Sequestration to achieve NEGATIVE carbon emissions
This short white paper and the accompanying dashboard show how combining the use of sustainably sourced wood pellets and carbon capture and sequestration in a power plant can achieve significant negative CO2 emissions. The paper shows why BCCS must be part of every decarbonization strategy.
(November 16, 2020) - A climate strategy for the Biden administration
The goal of attaining a carbon free electricity generation sector is necessary. But the path from today to that goal needs to be pragmatic. This white paper offers guidance for near and long-term solutions that the Biden administration can incorporate into their strategy.
(October 19, 2020) - A white paper about the future of power generation.
A new and important white paper on the future of power generation. The paper shows how wind, solar, and energy storage have a very long way to go if we envision a 100% fossil fuel free generation sector. The paper offers guidance for navigating that long transition. Click on the button above to go to the free download page.
(September 25, 2020) - Climate change will drive new pellet demand! See a video of Dr. Strauss discussing this topic.
The Wood Pellet Association of Canada’s annual conference was online this year. The complete comprehensive presentation about global pellet markets and how climate change will impact future growth is available to view. Click on the “Download” button to access the link to the video.
(June 26, 2020) - A short white paper on the consequences of inaction in dealing with CO2 emissions and climate change:
This “call-to-action” white paper titled “Why the Future May Not Be What It Is Supposed to Be” offers a novel perspective on how increasing concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere may lead to chaos (in a mathematical, ecological, social, and economic sense).
(May 6, 2020) - White paper: "How renewable solid fuel is an important component of the pathway to a more decarbonized future."
This white paper discusses the efficacy of using wood pellets for power generation and explains why the opponents of pellets for power use poorly crafted arguments based on faulty logic.
Many more free papers are listed on the paper download page.
Biomass Carbon Capture and Sequestration (BCCS) Dashboard
This dashboard allows the user see the significant NEGATIVE net CO2 emissions achievable by combining CCS with the use of sustainably sourced wood pellet fuel in a coal power station converted to use wood pellets. There is a short white paper that has many details about the need for BCCS and the dashboard HERE.
Calculate How Much Wood is Needed to Supply a Pellet Factory
This dashboard allows the user to estimate the annual demand for pellet production feedstock and biomass dryer fuel. It also estimates the annual wood costs.
Pellet Supply Chain Carbon Footprint
Calculate the carbon footprint of delivered wood pellet fuel.
Valuation Dashboard
This comprehensive dashboard allows the user to work out the metrics for a sale or acquisition of an existing pellet factory. The user can adjust many of the critical inputs to the valuation model.
Calculate the Change in Costs for a Power Station that Substitutes Pellets for Coal
Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) for new build power stations and converted pulverized coal power stations. Pellet fuel from zero (100% coal) to 100% pellets. Carbon benefits in avoided tonnes per year of emissions. LCOE in Dollars, Yen, and Euros. Also shows the impact of a carbon tax.
What is a Japanese Power Plant’s Ability to Pay for Pellet Fuel?
This dashboard has many inputs for calculating the total cost of generation versus the total revenues from power sales (including feed-in-tariff sales from pellet generated power). It also shows the expected power plant margins over the 20 year span of the feed-in-tariff.
Japanese Minimum Efficiency Requirements for Power Plants
If a Japanese power plant’s efficiency is too low to comply with Japan’s minimum efficiency requirements for power stations, the power station can “increase” their efficiency by co-firing wood pellets. This dashboard calculate the annual tonnages of pellets that would be required to be in compliance.
South Korean Power Station’s Ability to Pay for Pellet Fuel
See how a South Korean power plant can make (or lose) money under the S. Korean RPS scheme. Experiment with many inputs to see the net of revenue minus total costs when cofiring or full firing wood pellets and using RECs to supplement (or not) cash flows.
FutureMetrics’ Team Members
Hannah Campbell is FutureMetrics’ logistics specialist. Hannah brings a military background as an Air Force Academy graduate and logistics specialist as an officer in the Air Force to her work with FutureMetrics.
