Intelligent Analysis, Operations Guidance, and Strategic Leadership for the Pellet Sector
FutureMetrics has a unique skill set for providing detailed independent analysis. We combine broad and deep operational expertise, powerful sector focused financial modeling skills, and thought leading market awareness.
- Advice on all aspects of producing, transporting, and selling pellets
- Operations optimization and operator training for pellet plants
- Strategic analysis and market research
- Expert guidance and due diligence for potential investors and project developers
Download a summary of our team and a list of recent projects and clients HERE.
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NEW (December 18, 2017) - FutureMetrics releases its comprehensive study on the Japanese biomass markets.
FutureMetrics’ senior economist, Seth Walker, has spent more than 4 months doing primary research and analysis to produce this comprehensive report. There are data and insights in the study that are not available from any other source. The study is 72 pages long and contains 53 charts and tables.
Highlights of the Japanese Biomass Outlook study includes:
- A breakdown of policy drivers for biomass and renewable energy in Japan.
- Forecasts for wood pellet, PKS, domestic biomass, and imported woodchip demand at Independent Power Producers through 2025.
- An outlook for wood-pellet co-firing to 2025.
- Analyses of economics and pricing, including the ability to pay for wood pellets by Japanese Independent Power Producers, under various scenarios.
- An overview of wood pellet, PKS, domestic biomass, and imported woodchip producers, including opportunities for expansion in major supply regions.
Download a copy of the Table of Contents HERE.
The full report can be purchased from HERE.
NEW (December 4, 2017) - A white paper by FutureMetrics's operations expert John Swaan, "Best Practices for Fighting and Preventing a Fire in a Wood Pellet Storage Dome or Silo."
This white paper is about fires in wood pellet storage systems and the lessons learned from several decades of experience. The author of this paper has over four decades of hands-on experience with wood pellet manufacturing. The experience and wisdom that he and others have gained is the basis for the best practices that are described in the white paper.
This white paper not only discusses best practice but also recounts how they were used to successfully resolve a major silo fire. The silo fire was at the Pacific BioEnergy (PacBio) 350,000 tonne per year pellet plant in Prince George, BC* in August of 2017. The tactics used to combat the fire resulted in a successful outcome. This is in contrast to a long history of silo and dome fires resulting in the complete loss of the structures, major damage to the surrounding infrastructure, and injury and loss of life.
*The original pellet mill of the company that became Pacific BioEnergy in Prince George, BC was built by the author of this white paper, John Swaan, in 1994.
NEW (September 16, 2017) - An important component of the pathway to a more decarbonized future: Wood pellets as a substitute for coal in power generation.
This short paper discusses a renewable biomass-based strategy for the power sector that is good for the environment and offers a low-cost method of reducing CO2 while providing essential baseload power to the grid. The strategy is not based on complex chemistry to produce liquid fuel from biomass. The strategy is based on a proven process for upgrading wood into a densified and durable solid fuel that is suitable for use in large utility power boilers that are based on pulverized coal fuel systems.
(May 11, 2017) Why the South Korean Utilities May Never Engage in Long-term Offtake Agreements for Industrial Wood Pellets
(March 20, 2017) Micro-Scale Pellet-Fueled Combined Heat and Power
(March 6, 2017) A critique of the Chatham House study.
The recently released paper by the Chatham House is a study that contains many inaccurate statements about the use of wood for energy. Those statements are presented as facts (when they are not) or as uncontested conclusions (when they are erroneous). This white paper focuses on the study’s discussions that pertain to the sourcing of raw materials for industrial wood pellets and why they got it wrong.
(January 12, 2016) White Paper on Pellet Plant Operations by John Swaan
FutureMetrics has a new White Paper by John Swaan that discusses the reasons why pellet plants do not perform as expected. Click on the link at the top of this column to download the paper.
John Swaan is the recipient of the 2014 International Founders Award. He is the founder of Pacific BioEnergy and producer of the first transatlantic shipment of wood pellets from North America to Europe (1998).
Seth is a leading researcher, analyst, and author in the wood pellet sector. Has presented at dozens of conferences throughout the world.