Intelligent Analysis, Operations Guidance, and
Strategic Leadership for the Pellet Sector
FutureMetrics has a unique skill set for providing detailed independent analysis. We combine broad and deep operational expertise, powerful sector focused financial modeling skills, and thought leading market awareness.
Advice on all aspects of producing, transporting, and selling pellets
Operations optimization and operator training for pellet plants
Strategic analysis and market research
Expert guidance and due diligence for potential investors and project developers
Download a summary of our team and a list of recent projects and clients .
FutureMetrics has an agreement with the world’s leading engineering firm for power plant modifications and conversions from coal to wood pellets to offer expert advice.
(October 28, 2019) - A white paper titled "Japan and South Korean Industrial Wood Pellet Markets: Insights into their ability to pay for pellets."
This short white paper provides insight into how the policies do or do not support the power producers’ ability to pay for pellet fuel under sustainable and equitable long-term offtake agreements. Click on the “download here” button above to get the white paper.
(September 3, 2019) - A New Vietnam Pellet Mill Comes Online under the Guidance of FutureMetrics
FutureMetrics is proud to announce that a project that it has guided for over two years is now producing high quality pellets. Under the guidance of FutureMetrics’ operations expert, John Swaan, a new 120,000 metric tonne per year pellet plant located in Binh Dinh province Vietnam has reached the commercial operation stage. Click on the DOWNLOAD button to see a more complete description and many photographs of the new pellet mill.
(July 29, 2019) - A new White Paper on the South Korean industrial wood pellet markets.
(June 24, 2019) - William Strauss comments on the shortcomings of the US EPA's Affordable Clean Energy Program
(March 29, 2019) - New white paper - Japan May Impose Sustainablity Requirements on Palm Kernal Shell (PKS) - What that means for PKS and Pellets
(March 15, 2019) - New white paper - Heating pellets and how their use is beneficial to the economy
(February 6, 2019) - New dashboard - Calculating pellet demand in Japanese utility power stations in order to comply with minimum efficiency requirements.
(December 19, 2018) - New white paper - "Pellet Markets Soar in 2018 – a year-end review and outlook"
(October 29, 2018) - New white paper - "Coal Power Stations that Convert to Wood Pellets Supply Reliable On-Demand Baseload and Peaking Power"
(October 1, 2018) - New free white paper - "Forecasting Industrial Wood Pellet Prices - A new model for calculating future prices"
(July 8, 2018) - Free white paper - Vietnam Wood Pellet Exports - Rapid growth and low prices. Can it last? What is the Future?
(April 30, 2018) - Free white paper - A Perspective on Solar Energy Storage
(January 31, 2018) - Free white paper - Weather, Heating Oil Prices, and Wood Pellet Sales
(December 4, 2017) - A white paper by FutureMetrics's operations expert John Swaan, "Best Practices for Fighting and Preventing a Fire in a Wood Pellet Storage Dome or Silo."
This white paper is about fires in wood pellet storage systems and the lessons learned from several decades of experience. The author of this paper has over four decades of hands-on experience with wood pellet manufacturing. The experience and wisdom that he and others have gained is the basis for the best practices that are described in the white paper. This white paper not only discusses best practice but also recounts how they were used to successfully resolve a major silo fire. The silo fire was at the Pacific BioEnergy (PacBio) 350,000 tonne per year pellet plant in Prince George, BC* in August of 2017. The tactics used to combat the fire resulted in a successful outcome. This is in contrast to a long history of silo and dome fires resulting in the complete loss of the structures, major damage to the surrounding infrastructure, and injury and loss of life. *The original pellet mill of the company that became Pacific BioEnergy in Prince George, BC was built by the author of this white paper, John Swaan, in 1994.
(September 16, 2017) - An important component of the pathway to a more decarbonized future: Wood pellets as a substitute for coal in power generation.
This short paper discusses a renewable biomass-based strategy for the power sector that is good for the environment and offers a low-cost method of reducing CO2 while providing essential baseload power to the grid. The strategy is not based on complex chemistry to produce liquid fuel from biomass. The strategy is based on a proven process for upgrading wood into a densified and durable solid fuel that is suitable for use in large utility power boilers that are based on pulverized coal fuel systems.
(May 11, 2017) Why the South Korean Utilities May Never Engage in Long-term Offtake Agreements for Industrial Wood Pellets
(March 20, 2017) Micro-Scale Pellet-Fueled Combined Heat and Power
(March 6, 2017) A critique of the Chatham House study.
The recently released paper by the Chatham House is a study that contains many inaccurate statements about the use of wood for energy. Those statements are presented as facts (when they are not) or as uncontested conclusions (when they are erroneous). This white paper focuses on the study’s discussions that pertain to the sourcing of raw materials for industrial wood pellets and why they got it wrong.
(January 12, 2016) White Paper on Pellet Plant Operations by John Swaan
FutureMetrics has a new White Paper by John Swaan that discusses the reasons why pellet plants do not perform as expected. Click on the link at the top of this column to download the paper.
Many more free papers are listed on the paper download page.
FutureMetrics research reports and subscriptions.
A new and comprehensive report on the current and forecast wood pellet demand in Japan will be published in early October.
John Swaan is the recipient of the 2014 International Founders Award. He is the founder of Pacific BioEnergy and producer of the first transatlantic shipment of wood pellets from North America to Europe (1998).
Annette Bossler provides detailed market intelligence on renewable energy policies around the world with a strong focus on Japan. Annette speaks fluent Japanese. She was the 2013 recipient of the President’s Award from the Maine International Trade Center.
Laurenz Schmidt provides rigorous analytic skills to FutureMetrics’ analyses of contemporary wood fiber conversion and densification processes.
Yoshinobu “Yoshi” Kusano provides analysis on Japanese policy and insights into the future of the Japanese markets for wood pellets.